What is the highest mortgage rate ever?
Interest rates reached their highest point in modern history in October 1981 when they peaked at 18.63%, according to the
What's the Highest Mortgage Rate in History? From 1971 to present, the highest average mortgage rate ever recorded was 18.63% in October 1981.
The 1970s and 1980s
As we headed into the 80s, it's important to note that the country was in the middle of a recession, largely caused by the oil crises of 1973 and 1979. The second oil shock caused skyrocketing inflation. The cost of goods and services rose, so fittingly, mortgage rates did too.
Spurred by the Great Inflation, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate reached a pinnacle of 18.4 percent in October 1981, according to Freddie Mac. Once the Fed reined in inflation, the 30-year rate seesawed down to the 9 percent range, closing the decade at 9.78 percent.
Average 30-year mortgage rates started the decade at 12.85%. Then after a brief drop in the spring of 1980, started marching higher until they peaked at 18.63% in October 1981. By the end of the decade, rates had dropped back down to just under 10%.
It's possible that rates will one day go back down to 3%, though if current trends hold that's not likely to happen anytime soon.
While the lowest interest rate for a mortgage in history came in 2020-2021, the lowest annual mortgage rate on record was in 2016, when the typical mortgage was priced at 3.65%. This means that for a mortgage of $200,000, and a rate of 3.65%, the average monthly cost for principal and interest was $915.
In February 1980, the average 30-year mortgage rate was 12.85%. By October 1981, the average rate had risen to a whopping 18.63%. Mortgage rates gradually cooled as the decade wore on. By March 1985, the average 30-year mortgage rate was roughly 13%, and at the end of the decade, rates dipped below the 10% mark.
Interest rates have held steady since July 2023.
The Fed raised the rate 11 times between March 2022 and July 2023 to combat ongoing inflation. After its December 2023 meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) predicted making three quarter-point cuts by the end of 2024 to lower the federal funds rate to 4.6%.
Over time, greater control of reserve and money growth, while less than perfect, produced a desired slowing in inflation. This tighter reserve management was augmented by the introduction of credit controls in early 1980 and with the Monetary Control Act.
What is a good interest rate on a house?
As of Apr. 23, 2024, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 7.52%, 20-year fixed mortgage rate is 7.42%, 15-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.87%, and 10-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.78%. Average rates for other loan types include 7.24% for an FHA 30-year fixed mortgage and 7.20% for a jumbo 30-year fixed mortgage.
In today's market, a good mortgage interest rate can fall in the high-6% range, depending on several factors, such as the type of mortgage, loan term, and individual financial circ*mstances. To understand what a favorable mortgage rate looks like for you, get quotes from a few different lenders and compare them.
While McBride had expected mortgage rates to fall to 5.75 percent by late 2024, the new economic reality means they're likely to hover in the range of 6.25 percent to 6.4 percent by the end of the year, he says.
Product | Interest Rate | APR |
---|---|---|
30-year fixed-rate | 7.154% | 7.235% |
20-year fixed-rate | 6.981% | 7.083% |
15-year fixed-rate | 6.276% | 6.407% |
10-year fixed-rate | 6.178% | 6.376% |
When inflation is running high, the Fed raises those short-term rates to slow the economy and reduce pressure on prices. But higher interest rates make it more expensive for banks to borrow, so they raise their rates on consumer loans, including mortgages, to compensate.
Despite mortgage rates remaining stubbornly high, most housing market experts expect them to recede over 2024, assuming the Federal Reserve acts on its signaled interest rate cuts. However, whether mortgage rates fade enough to create a meaningful shift in home affordability remains uncertain.
"By the first quarter of 2025, mortgage rates could potentially fall below the 6% threshold, or maybe even lower." Hold steady through 2024: Afifa Saburi, a capital markets analyst for Veterans United Home Loans, doesn't think rates are going to drop much this year.
One reason is that as the Federal Reserve presumably begins to cut rates, the bond market is expected to become less volatile, leading to a slight decline in mortgage rates. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Thursday was 6.99%. By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%.
Legally speaking, there's no limit to how many times you can refinance your mortgage, so you can refinance as often as it makes financial sense for you. Depending on your lender and the type of loan, though, you might encounter a waiting period — also called a seasoning requirement.
When purchasing a home, you have the choice of an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) or a fixed-rate mortgage. While interest rates usually fall early in a recession, credit requirements are often stricter, making it challenging for some borrowers to qualify for the best interest rates and loans.
Is 6% a low mortgage rate?
Nearly 9 in 10 U.S. homeowners have a mortgage rate below 6 percent, according to a new report from the real estate company Redfin. Some 88.5 percent have a mortgage rate below 6 percent, down from a high of 92.8 percent of homeowners in in the second quarter of 2022, the report found.
For people looking to buy a home, a recession can bring some advantages. When the economy is not doing well, home prices often drop, which can be good news for those who want to find a good deal; plus, during recessions, mortgage rates usually stay low, meaning buyers can get a home with lower monthly payments.
Interest rates reached their highest point in modern history in October 1981 when they peaked at 18.63%, according to the Freddie Mac data.
2021: The lowest 30-year mortgage rates ever
Rates plummeted in 2020 and 2021 in response to the Coronavirus pandemic. By July 2020, the 30-year fixed rate fell below 3% for the first time. And it kept falling to a new record low of just 2.65% in January 2021.
References
- https://www.investopedia.com/will-2024-mortgage-rates-fall-clues-from-wednesdays-fed-announcement-8611482
- https://www.lendingtree.com/home/refinance/how-much-does-it-cost-to-refinance/
- https://themortgagereports.com/61853/30-year-mortgage-rates-chart
- https://money.usnews.com/loans/mortgages/mortgage-rate-forecast
- https://www.rocketmortgage.com/learn/historical-mortgage-rates-30-year-fixed
- https://www.investopedia.com/articles/pf/09/avoid-five-recession-risks.asp
- https://www.investopedia.com/mortgage-rates-5094943
- https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/will-mortgage-rates-ever-be-3-percent-again/
- https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/average-mortgage-payment
- https://www.cbsnews.com/news/how-far-will-mortgage-rates-fall-when-fed-cuts-rates-what-experts-say/
- https://www.fastcompany.com/91087490/housing-market-where-forecasters-expect-mortgage-rates-through-2025
- https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/mortgage-rates-drop-after-climbing-for-four-weeks
- https://www.nerdwallet.com/mortgages/mortgage-rates
- https://www.investopedia.com/mortgage/refinance/when-and-when-not-to-refinance-mortgage/
- https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/loans/personal-loans/safe-small-dollar-loans
- https://www.cbsnews.com/news/whats-the-best-way-to-get-a-lower-mortgage-rate-experts-weigh-in/
- https://newsroom.bankofamerica.com/content/newsroom/home/prime-rate-information.html
- https://www.bankrate.com/mortgages/historical-mortgage-rates/
- https://money.usnews.com/loans/mortgages/articles/historical-mortgage-rates
- https://fox59.com/news/national-world/when-will-mortgage-rates-fall/
- https://www.cnbc.com/select/when-will-interest-rates-drop/
- https://themortgagereports.com/32667/mortgage-rates-forecast-fha-va-usda-conventional
- https://www.bankrate.com/mortgages/when-to-refinance/
- https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/mortgage-interest-rate-forecast-for-next-10-years/
- https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/great-inflation
- https://www.cnn.com/cnn-underscored/money/historical-mortgage-rates
- https://www.creditkarma.com/home-loans/i/how-often-can-you-refinance
- https://www.bankrate.com/mortgages/mortgage-interest-rates-forecast/
- https://www.cnn.com/cnn-underscored/money/how-much-does-it-cost-to-refinance-a-mortgage
- https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/will-mortgage-rates-go-down-in-2024
- https://www.investopedia.com/mortgage/mortgage-rates/housing-market/
- https://www.conference-board.org/brief/global-economy/FOMC-analysis-March-2024
- https://thehill.com/business/4404959-nearly-nine-in-10-us-homeowners-have-mortgage-rate-below-6-percent-report/
- https://www.ccn.com/analysis/projected-us-interest-rates-in-5-years/
- https://www.atlanticbay.com/knowledge-center/history-of-mortgage-rates/
- https://www.bankrate.com/mortgages/mortgage-points/
- https://www.mpamag.com/us/mortgage-industry/guides/historical-mortgage-rates-in-the-usa-highest-high-and-lowest-lows/433237
- https://themortgagereports.com/76824/what-is-a-good-mortgage-rate-today
- https://www.cbsnews.com/news/will-mortgage-rates-drop-to-5-in-2024/
- https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/26/business/mortgage-rates-housing-market.html
- https://www.forbes.com/advisor/mortgages/mortgage-interest-rates-forecast/
- https://www.nerdwallet.com/mortgages/mortgage-rates/30-year-fixed
- https://www.rocketmortgage.com/learn/interest-rate-vs-home-price
- https://time.com/personal-finance/article/historical-mortgage-rates/
- https://www.statista.com/statistics/275190/ten-year-treasury-constant-maturity-rate-in-the-united-states-as-of-2009/
- https://pacresmortgage.com/knowledge-center/news-insights/recession-home-value